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Oddball: Week 17 Recap & Week 18 Bets

Kirk and Matt get $100 each per week and go head-to-head to see who can light the most money on fire betting the NFL this season.

mercifully, this year is ending

Will a new year change the tides and give Matt a miraculous come back? Or will Kirk finally put him out of his misery? Week 18 is a bit tricky, because no one is ever sure who is trying and who isn't. The only thing we DO know is, barring a miracle, Matt is going to be losing some weight in the New Year, courtesy of the TB12 diet.


Matt’s Week 17 Recap

$100.00 available to bet this week -$100.00 last week -$616.76 for the season

Honestly, whatever. I'm not having fun anymore.


Nothing to Lose Except My Dignity Parlay (+888)

Commanders ML ❌ Broncos ML ✅ Patriots ML ✅ Giants/Raiders Over 41.5 ✅ Rams ML ❌

Commanders — Sucked.


Broncos — Kinda sucked, but still won.


Patriots — Crushed the Jets harder than Rex Ryan crushes meatloaf.


Giants/Raiders Over — The most predictable outcome of 2025. Enjoy the second pick, morons.


Rams — Had nothing to play for and acted like it until randomly starting to try midway through the third quarter. Not sure what that was all about, but thankfully I wasn't baking on this game anyway or I might have wandered out into the woods alone.


❌ Lost $100.00


Kirk's Week 17 Recap

$100.00 available to bet this week -$100.00 last week +$246.68 for the season


The Cursed Parlay (+597)

Steelers @ Browns Over 34.5 ❌ Broncos @ Chiefs Over 36.5 ❌ Saints @ Titans Over 38.5 ✅

My fucking life is falling apart! I'm in a fucking parlay slump! This is a fucking disaster!


❌ Lost $100.00


Matt’s Week 18 Picks

$100.00 available to bet this week -$100.00 last week -$616.76 for the season

I'm like $900 behind, so there really isn't much I can do but pray to Taranis.


Last Gasp Parlay (+1304)

Panthers Alt Line +3.5 Saints Alt Line +3.5 Vikings ML Jaguars ML Texans ML Chiefs ML Broncos ML Patriots ML Eagles ML

Panthers — Facing off against the fading Bucs with a playoff spot on the line. Conventional wisdom says to take the home team in this scenario, but Baker is a shell of himself and the rest of the Bucs team is trying to signal to us with their eyes that they've been taken hostage by Todd Bowles.


Saints — They'll be playing the Falcons with both teams eliminated from playoff contention. That makes me think the Falcons will be completely demotivated, whereas the Saints will want to build on their late-season momentum and really let Tyler Shough loose in a no-risk situation.


Vikings — Clayton Tune will be the starting back for the Packers, which is like throwing red meat to the wolves for a hungry Brian Flores defense. The Packers are locked into the last wild card spot and have absolutely nothing to play for. Seems like a potential shutout situation for the Purple People Eaters.


Jaguars — Playing the lowly Titans with a potential path to the number one seed with a victory. The Jags are locked into the playoffs, but still have something to gain by taking care of business against a crappy divisional opponent. They'll end the season on a high note with a win. Texans — They could end up anywhere from the 7-seed to the 3-seed in the AFC, depending on how the rest of the day shakes out. They'll want to win and improve their positioning, whereas the Colts will be starting Riley Leonard at quarterback with nothing to play for after their 7-1 start to the season ended in disaster.


Chiefs — The Raiders might not be good at football, but they understand the assignment when it comes to tanking. Unlike my dopey Giants, their staff will comprehend that it is franchise malpractice to win this game and potentially cost themselves the No. 1 overall pick. Chiefs cruise.


Broncos — They clinch the No. 1 seed in the AFC and a first round bye with a win. They're playing the Chargers, who already announced they'll be benching Justin Herbert to keep him healthy for the playoffs. I could see Bo Nix bumbling through large portions of this game and making it a sweat, but I don't see Denver actually blowing it.


Patriots — New England will be motivated, because in the event that Denver actually does blow it, a win would give the Pats the No. 1 seed in the AFC. The Dolphins are notoriously bad in cold weather and will have their bags packed for their offseason golf trips already.


Eagles — Yes, I know they are resting their starters. But they are playing a hapless Commanders team who will be starting Josh Johnson at QB. Disgruntled Philly fans have been clamoring for Tanner McKee all season, and now they've got him. It would be the funniest thing ever if he goes nuts and then Hurts sucks in the playoffs.


💰 $100.00 to win $1304.48


Kirk's Week 18 Picks

$100.00 available to bet this week -$100.00 last week +$246.68 for the season

Only one thing for it this week.



Spooky Season, Part Three (+500)

Derrick Henry 2+ ATS

I'm going back to the well here. Yes, a well that's been dry for fucking ever and I've fallen into once and got stuck in for a holiday weekend, but this time is different.


  1. John Harbutt has finally been exposed publicly the last few weeks as a fraud with even casual fans asking, "Why didn't you give Derrick Henry any carries in the final 7 minutes of a loss when he was dominating?"

  2. Derrick Henry then rushed for 4 TD's and 200 Yards.

  3. This is a week 18 matchup that actually matter against hated divisional foe the Steelers.

  4. I've lost each bet I've made against/on/for/with you name it on both of these teams.

  5. I'm big braining around the spread or actual outcome with the fact that public pressure on the Harbutt is so high and Henry's recent absolute demolishing of the Packers was the biggest f you I've ever seen. He will conservatively run for two TD's this week and I will be going into our annual guys trip weekend flush with cash that I then flush down the toilet with a home game of blackjack that get's out of hand in about 3 minutes.


💰 $100.00 to win $500.00


Bonus Bet Week 18 Pick

$100.00 available to bet this week -$100.00 last week -$1229.86 for the season (holy crap, we suck)

Note: Not part of the weekly totals. This is a brotherhood bet, a ritual sacrifice to Taranis so he doesn't smite us both.



Same Game Parlay (+324)

  • Jaxon Smith-Nijgba ATS

  • Seahawks ML

  • Christian McCaffery under 65.5 rushing yards


💰 $100.00 to win $324.78


Reminder to send your comments, questions, and general mockery to hello@illandodd.com and we'll respond if we feel like it!

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