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Over/Under Pick Results

Writer's picture: Ill & OddIll & Odd
Were we right about anything? Let's check in on our over/under picks, rookie quarterback rankings, and the predictions we made back in September!
my gift to man

Here's some stuff we said before the year started and the predictions we made after Week 14. Let's see how wrong we were!


Over/Unders

Matt was 17-15

Kirk was 13-19


Best Bets

Matt was 2-6

Kirk was 5-3


Playoff Predictions

Matt was 7-7

Kirk was 7-7


That's a sleepily average slice of mediocrity across the board.


NFC East

Over/Under Picks

Team
Matt (4-0)
Kirk (2-2)

Cowboys — 10.5 wins Actual — 7.0

Under Won!

Over Lost!

Giants — 6.5 wins Actual — 3.0

Under Won!

Under Won!

Eagles — 10.5 wins Actual — 14.0

Over Won!

Under Lost!

Commanders — 6.5 wins Actual — 12.0

Over Won!

Over Won!

Best Bets

Matt: Eagles over (Won!)
Kirk: Commanders over (Won!)

Damn, Matt really crushed this division and both fellas made money on Jayden Daniels.


NFC North

Over/Under Picks

Team
Matt (2-2)
Kirk (3-1)

Bears — 8.5 wins Actual — 5.0

Over Lost!

Under Won!

Lions — 10.5 wins Actual — 15.0

Over Won!

Over Won!

Packers — 9.5 wins Actual — 11.0

Over Won!

Over Won!

Vikings — 7.5 wins Actual — 14.0

Under Lost!

Under Lost!

Best Bet

Matt: Vikings under (Lost!)
Kirk: Lions over (Won!)

Matt completely whiffed on the Vikings, while Kirk parlayed his love for the Lions into many profitable Oddball picks during the season.


NFC South

Over/Under Picks

Team
Matt (1-3)
Kirk (2-2)

Falcons — 9.5 wins Actual — 8.0

Over Lost!

Over Lost!

Panthers — 5.5 wins Actual — 5.0

Over Lost!

Under Won!

Saints — 7.5 wins Actual — 5.0

Under Won!

Over Lost!

Buccaneers — 7.5 wins Actual — 10.0

Under Lost!

Over Won!

Best Bet

Matt: Falcons over (Lost!)
Kirk: Panthers under (Won!)

Cousins turned to dust, Carr crashed and burned, Baker balled out, and Bryce Young took us on a rollercoaster ride through Andy Dalton's fire crotch.


NFC West

Over/Under Picks

Team
Matt (1-3)
Kirk (3-1)

Cardinals — 7.5 wins Actual — 8.0

Under Lost!

Over Won!

Rams — 8.5 wins Actual — 10.0

Over Won!

Over Won!

49ers — 11.5 wins Actual — 6.0

Over Lost!

Under Won!

Seahawks — 7.5 wins Actual — 10.0

Under Lost!

Under Lost!

Best Bet

Matt: Cardinals under (Lost!)
Kirk: Rams over (Won!)

The Cardinals ended up kind of sucking, just not enough to cash Matt's under. Luckily the Rams were kind to us both down the stretch.


Other Predictions

Playoff Picture


Actual

Matt's Picks (4-3)
Kirk's Picks (4-3)

Number 1 Seed

Lions

Eagles

Lions

Division Winners

Eagles Buccaneers Rams

49ers Packers Falcons

Cowboys Falcons Rams

Wild Cards

Vikings Commanders Packers

Lions Rams Bears

49ers Buccaneers Eagles

We both hated the 49ers and yet they seemed inevitable. We should have trusted our guts. The curse of Taranis lives.


Matt's Three Predictions for Weeks 15-18

Week 18's game between the Rams and the Seahawks will decide the NFC West ❌

The Rams ended up running the table against the Bills, Niners, Jets, and Cardinals, clinching the division before their Week 18 showdown.


The Eagles will win out... but it won't matter ❌

The Bucs will host the Packers in the 3 vs. 6 wild card game ❌

The Bucs held up their end of the deal, but Hammermill Love turned back into a blank sheet of computer paper and the Packers fell to the 7-seed.


Kirk's Three Predictions for Weeks 15-18

The Commanders will lose out ❌

See video above.


Nick Sirianni will get fired ❌

Turns out that if you only lose once after September, you're not really on the hot seat.


The Bucs will win the NFC south ✅

Kirk's buying Baker a beer.


AFC East

Over/Under Picks

Team
Matt (3-1)
Kirk (1-3)

Bills — 10.5 wins Actual — 13.0

Over Won!

Under Lost!

Dolphins — 9.5 wins Actual — 8.0

Over Lost!

Under Won!

Patriots — 4.5 wins Actual — 4.0

Under Won!

Over Lost!

Jets — 9.5 wins Actual — 5.0

Under Won!

Over Lost!

Best Bet

Matt: Dolphins over (Lost!)
Kirk: Bills under (Lost!)

The Dolphins were not even close to being entertaining, save for the Tyreek Hill pre-game arrest. Kirk's irrational hatred for the Bills hurt him for the second season in a row.


AFC North

Over/Under Picks

Team
Matt (2-2)
Kirk (0-4)

Ravens — 10.5 wins Actual — 12.0

Under Lost!

Under Lost!

Bengals — 10.5 wins Actual — 9.0

Under Won!

Over Lost!

Browns — 8.5 wins Actual — 3.0

Over Lost!

Over Lost!

Steelers — 8.5 wins Actual — 10.0

Over Won!

Under Lost!

Best Bet

Matt: Bengals under (Won!)
Kirk: Bengals over (Lost!)

Joe "Slim Shady" Burrow and Zac "Timeshare" Taylor underdelivered again. Okay, fine, Burrow was totally not the problem here. But still. That was a dumb haircut.


AFC South

Over/Under Picks

Team
Matt (3-1)
Kirk (1-3)

Texans — 9.5 wins Actual — 10.0

Over Won!

Under Lost!

Colts — 8.5 wins Actual — 8.0

Over Lost!

Over Lost!

Jaguars — 8.5 wins Actual — 4.0

Under Won!

Under Won!

Titans — 6.5 wins Actual — 3.0

Under Won!

Over Lost!

Best Bet

Matt: Colts over (Lost!)
Kirk: Jaguars under (Won!)

All the god damn Colts needed to do was beat the pathetic New York Giants and definitely would have won this bet and maybe would have won Oddball. He will never forgive Joe Flaccid. Kirk took the obvious answer here and bet against Coach Butters.


AFC West

Over/Under Picks

Team
Matt (1-3)
Kirk (1-3)

Broncos — 5.5 wins Actual — 10.0

Under Lost!

Under Lost!

Chiefs — 11.5 wins Actual — 15.0

Over Won!

Under Lost!

Raiders — 6.5 wins Actual — 4.0

Over Lost!

Over Lost!

Chargers — 8.5 wins Actual — 11.0

Under Lost!

Over Won!

Best Bet

Matt: Raiders over (Lost!)
Kirk: Raiders over (Lost!)

OMG! Remember after Week 5 when we thought this bet was looking like a sure thing? Holy moly. The Minshew, O'Connell, Ridder trio of pain really sucked the life out of us.


Other Predictions

Playoff Picture


Actual
Matt's Picks (3-4)
Kirk's Picks (4-3)

Number 1 Seed

Chiefs

Chiefs

Bengals

Division Winners

Bills Ravens Texans

Bills Browns Colts

  Jets Colts Chargers

Wild Cards

Chargers Steelers Broncos

Texans Dolphins Raiders

 Chiefs Bills Ravens

Matt ending up with a pair of last place teams on his list is pretty rough. Same with Kirk's top seed completely missing the playoffs. We're bad at this!


Matt's Three Predictions for Weeks 15-18

The Colts beat the Broncos in Week 15 en route to a playoff bid ❌

The Raiders suck worse than the Giants down the stretch and get the first pick ❌

Both of these teams couldn't even tank correctly. What a mess!


The Chiefs won't cover again for the rest of the year ❌

Well they certainly didn't cover in their 38-0 drubbing to end the season, but they had a few ATS victories in December.


Kirk's Three Predictions for Weeks 15-18

The Chargers will go 1-3 down the stretch and Jim Harbutt will look like an ass ❌

They went 3-1 and are favored in a playoff game. Again, I have undiagnosed dyslexia.


The Ravens will mount the comeback and reclaim the AFC North ✅

We're not so sure if this counts considering it was more of a collapse for the Steelers than a Ravens comeback. But we'll count it.


Jameis Winston will retire and become a motivational youth speaker 🤔

The jury is still out on this, but here's hoping it happens.



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